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Crown Green Handicap

Fred Bolton

Team: PensbyDivision: Division ALast updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

885

Current Handicap

8
Honours
Season:

78

Matches Played

37

Wins

41

Losses

47%

Win Rate

7.9

Avg Win Margin

8.6

Avg Loss Margin

23-20

Home Record

14-21

Away Record

21%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
15 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/24/2023

Only 15 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins37/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 78 matches

+8 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

13 Jul10 May5 Jul20 Jun8 Aug1 Jul8 Jun24 Aug-1259

Gives 8 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current8
Win Percentage(35%)
27%
score-0.47→contribution-0.16
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
11.8
score+0.63→contribution+0.14
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.8
score-0.14→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
27%
score-0.47→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(15%)
918
score-0.56→contribution-0.08
Weighted Score-0.173
Sample Size Confidence
21%(15/33 matches)
Rating931 → shrunk 986→ adjusted 861
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)983
Recency Blend20% (15 recent matches)
Final Rating885
Handicap
8

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

37W41L78 matches·47.4% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby2017–2019Division A40162440%
Pensby B2019–2023Division B, Division C38211755.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/24/2023Zoe StrattonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
8/17/2023Ian GillH21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision B
8/10/2023Ian MorganA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
7/20/2023George GouldingH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision B
7/11/2023Thomas RaybouldA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
7/6/2023Nicky BaileyH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
7/4/2023Gill SmithH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
6/28/2023vs Arno TixallA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
6/22/2023Robert McguiganA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
6/15/2023Len MastermanH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
6/13/2023Ray WhartonA21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision B
6/8/2023Teresa DobsonH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
6/1/2023Derek EdwardsA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
5/25/2023Steve McloughlinH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
5/18/2023Alec HaynesA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
7/29/2021Carol WyburnH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
7/27/2021Peter RoachA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
7/22/2021Tony SnutchH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
7/13/2021Leslie HobbsA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/6/2021George JellicoeA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
7/1/2021Brian WilliamsA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
6/23/2021vs Pensby CA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
6/22/2021Jane HickmanA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
6/17/2021Robert HolmesH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
6/3/2021John HenshallH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
5/27/2021Linda BiggsH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
5/26/2021vs Sea DogH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
5/18/2021Jean TaggartH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
8/13/2019Neil TurnerH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
8/8/2019Mike DunneA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision B
8/6/2019Malcolm GilfoyleA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
8/1/2019Eric CookH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision B
7/30/2019Derek WigfieldA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
7/25/2019Connor BoydH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
7/23/2019Linda ClareA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
7/9/2019Nick WelshH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision A
7/4/2019Mike BrannonA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision A
7/2/2019Peter McgheeA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
6/27/2019Dave ThomasH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
6/20/2019Mike DunneH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
6/11/2019Alan PophamH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision A
5/23/2019Bill JeffersonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
8/16/2018Adam HormbreyH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision A
8/14/2018Ian HazlehurstA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision A
8/9/2018Stephen BallH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision A
8/2/2018Peter LoveA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
7/31/2018James MotleyH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision A
7/19/2018Brian GoreA1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision A
7/10/2018Roy JonesH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision A
7/5/2018Nick WelshH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision A
7/4/2018Stuart BlairA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision A
6/28/2018Dave HazlehurstH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
6/21/2018Graham EllisonA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision A
6/14/2018Bill MclellanH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision A
6/7/2018Thomas RaybouldA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
5/31/2018Chris KissackH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
5/17/2018Colin GouldingH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision A
5/15/2018Brian PinderH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision A
5/10/2018Robin ProbbingA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision A
8/22/2017Matthew WilkinsonA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision A
8/17/2017Alan SmithH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision A
8/15/2017Paul WilliamsH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
8/10/2017John LewisA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
8/3/2017Nick Burridge JrH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision A
8/1/2017Glynis LomaxA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision A
7/27/2017Mark HoughtonH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision A
7/25/2017David WhitesideA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision A
7/20/2017Keith WhartonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision A
7/13/2017Mark JonesA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision A
7/11/2017Paul DiamondH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
7/6/2017Peter HankinH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision A
7/4/2017Ste DawsonA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision A
6/29/2017Paul WilliamsA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision A
6/22/2017Peter MartinH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
5/25/2017Sam ThompsonH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision A
5/18/2017Paul QuinlanA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision A
5/16/2017Stuart BlairH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
5/11/2017Sue SharpA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision A
1 Cup Title Won
Geoff Clare Trophy 2021· Pensby B
Geoff Clare Trophy3 games · 1W 1×
2021 Winner3 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundKen KerrBromborough Pool B21-11WINWON
Semi Final RoundPhillip CorcoranThingwall B20-21LOSSWON
Final RoundCarol WyburnBebington Park18-21LOSSWON
Leverhulme Cup7 games · 3W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Semi Final RoundMark ObrienLever Club21-16WINLOST
20183 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundStuart BlairLedsham Royal16-21LOSSWON
Quarters RoundDavid GorePt Sunlight Vill & Wks5-21LOSSWON
Final RoundJeff HitchellLever Club B16-21LOSSLOST
20173 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundGeorge DugganKendal21-20WINWON
Quarters RoundGail LewisHoylake Central & Melrose21-20WINWON
Semi Final RoundPaul LewisLedsham Royal13-21LOSSLOST
George ONeill Trophy2 games · 0W
20232 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundTommy Brown / George LowdenSea Dog7-15LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundAlan Welch / Andy PorterAlbany B14-15LOSSWON
Andy Dawson Cup2 games · 0W
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundGill SheenPensby7-21LOSSLOST
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJeff HitchellLever Club B18-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWWLL
Last 1030% win rate↑ improving
LWWLLLLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Thomas Raybould0220%7/11/2023
Mike Dunne202100%8/8/2019
Nick Welsh202100%7/9/2019
Stuart Blair0220%7/4/2018
Paul Williams0220%8/15/2017
Zoe Stratton0110%8/24/2023
Ian Gill101100%8/17/2023
Ian Morgan101100%8/10/2023
George Goulding0110%7/20/2023
Nicky Bailey0110%7/6/2023
Biggest Win
Ian Gill (+20)8/17/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Brian Gore (-20)7/19/2018
Best Season
202169% · 13 matches
Worst Season
202327% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
44% → 51%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
94267 known · 11 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
9-1439% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
21-2348% win rate

By Division

Division A16-24 (40%)
Division B12-13 (48%)
Division C9-4 (69%)
Division A40%
16W·24L·40 played
Division B48%
12W·13L·25 played
Division C69.2%
9W·4L·13 played

Debut

May 11, 2017

Latest

Aug 24, 2023

Seasons Active

5 (6.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

15.6 (78 total)

Seasons

20172018201920212023